Data from the 2015-2025 period shows that in eight out of ten years, the market closed the first week following the Lunar New Year holiday with gains.
The rare exceptions during this period were 2020, marked by the global pandemic, and 2023, when selling pressure increased.
Market experts attribute this positive performance in the early days of the year to seasonal capital flows and increased investor risk appetite.
Optimistic Growth Projections for 2026 Expectations for 2026 remain highly optimistic for the VN-Index, which managed to stay above its historical peak of 1,785 points in 2025.
Brokerage firms predict that economic stability and a recovery in corporate performance will drive the index to new heights.
VNDirect: Sets a target of 2,099 points in a scenario where global interest rate pressures ease.
Vietcap Securities: Forecasts the index could reach 2,033 points, based on an estimated 19% growth in earnings per share (EPS).
VPBankS Research: Projects a target of 2,087 points, assuming 14.4% EPS growth.
Institutional Reforms and Global Integration One of the most critical factors in the market's development is the potential for FTSE Russell to upgrade Vietnam to "secondary emerging market" status.
This move could make the Vietnamese capital market significantly more attractive to global funds.
Analysis from SSI Securities emphasizes that 2026 will be a transition year for the market, moving from an "expected valuation" phase to a "strength-based value" phase.
The growth potential is primarily attributed to the increase in corporate profitability.
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Vietnam Stock Market Targets 2,000 Points by 2026: Historical Data and Reforms Support Growth
The Vietnam stock market (VN-Index) has historically shown strong performance in the first week of the year, with experts anticipating the index will surpass 2,000 points by 2026 due to institutional reforms.
Sources
- Vietnam.vn · baglanti