Bitcoin Records Worst Start to a Year in History for 2026

Historical Decline in January and February Bitcoin has recorded the weakest start to a fiscal year in its recorded history, losing 23% of its value within the first 50 days of 2026.
According to data from Checkonchain, the asset fell by 10% in January and has seen a 15% decline so far in February.
Coinglass data indicates that Bitcoin has never previously recorded consecutive declines in both January and February.
Historical records show that while years such as 2015, 2016, and 2018 saw double-digit drops in January, these were always followed by a positive performance in February.
If the current losses persist, Bitcoin will exhibit its weakest consecutive monthly performance since 2022.
Cyclical Data and Market Analysis According to Checkonchain metrics, the average index value on the 50th day of a typical down year is 0.84, whereas Bitcoin currently stands at 0.77.
This data, used by traders to assess cyclical downturns, highlights the magnitude of the current value loss.
Historically, post-election years tend to perform better compared to election years and general bullish periods, making the underperformance in the early months of 2026 particularly noteworthy for market analysts.