US-Iran Tensions and Global Markets: Critical Forecasts for Oil, Gold, and Silver

Critical Thresholds in Oil Prices and the Strait of Hormuz Risk Economist Ali Ağaoğlu and journalist Hakan Güldağ evaluated the impact of military tensions between the United States and Iran on global markets.
Ağaoğlu noted that while markets have not yet fully priced in a "war scenario," any disruption to shipments through the Strait of Hormuz could jeopardize approximately 30 percent of the world's oil supply.
Under such a scenario, warnings were issued that oil prices could exceed the $100 mark.
In his technical analysis, Ağaoğlu identified the $78-$80 range as a critical resistance point, emphasizing that breaking this level could rapidly push prices toward $90 and $100.
Conversely, the fact that Brent crude June futures are trading around $70 and year-end contracts are at $67.5 suggests that the market has not yet accepted a permanent price increase as its primary baseline.
Expectations for a Rise in Precious Metals Silver holding above its 50-day moving average is seen as a positive signal.
The fact that copper, which is vital for industry, is accompanying this rise indicates increasing interest from investment funds.
Ağaoğlu predicts that silver could reach as high as $100 in the long term, while gold could see new peaks by rising to the 5,500-5,600 band.
Risk Management Strategies for Investors During this period of increased market volatility, experts stated that investors should focus on hedging against risk rather than chasing speculative opportunities.
To avoid being affected by sudden price movements, Ağaoğlu recommended acting according to a plan by placing pre-set orders for specific levels instead of constantly monitoring screens.
The experts also touched upon fluctuations in the Euro/Dollar parity, noting the importance of closely following news flows as the parity dipped below the 1.18 level.
They emphasized that both individuals and companies should engage in strategic planning based on their own needs without being swayed by market misinformation.