Atilla Yeşilada's Economic Analysis: Geopolitical Risks and Mehmet Şimşek's Roadmap

Geopolitical Threats and Economic Confidence Economist Atilla Yeşilada evaluated the current state of the Turkish economy and the critical risks for the upcoming period.
According to Yeşilada, a potential military intervention by the US and Israel against Iran stands out as the greatest external threat to both global markets and the Turkish economy.
Domestically, he warns that political operations against the opposition could shake the environment of economic confidence.
Mehmet Şimşek and Economic Management Addressing the position of Treasury and Finance Minister Mehmet Şimşek, Yeşilada stated that President Erdoğan's confidence in Şimşek remains intact.
Accordingly, it is predicted that the current tight monetary policy will continue without compromise until the 2027 elections.
While the economic management is expected to focus on budget discipline during this process, it is noted that the interest burden on the budget poses a long-term risk.
Inflation Expectations and Social Dynamics Stating that the Ramadan effect and the increase in energy prices will be decisive for inflation, Yeşilada predicted that inflation could reach the 35 percent band in April.
Explaining the activity in the housing market through factors such as "need-based" demand and "low real prices," Yeşilada emphasized that youth unemployment and flaws in the education system are fundamental elements threatening Turkey's future on the social side.